利用者:あまりこ/sandbox

Thucydides trap

In the book Destined for War, Allison uses the phrase the Thucydides Trap which, according to him, refers to the theory that "when one great power threatens to displace another, war is almost always the result". Allison's term follows the ancient text History of the Peloponnesian War, in which Thucydides wrote, "What made war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear which this caused in Sparta." The term appeared in a paid opinion advertisement in The New York Times on April 6, 2017, on the occasion of U.S. President Donald Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, which stated, "Both major players in the region share a moral obligation to steer away from Thucydides's Trap." Allison asserts that circumstances at the start of World War I (involving British fears about Germany); and the War of the Spanish Succession, and the Thirty Years' War, (involving French insecurity about the Habsburg empires of Spain and Austria) exhibit the trap.

Sinologist Arthur Waldron has criticized the concept of the Thucydides Trap and Allison's application of it to US–China relations.

トゥキディデスの罠

『米中戦争前夜(Destined for War)』の中でアリソンは、「トゥキディデスの罠」というフレーズを用いている。彼によればトゥキディデスの罠とは、「ある強国が他国に取って代わる恐れがあるとき、ほぼ必ず結果として戦争になる」という理論を指す。アリソンのこの言葉は、古くからの書である『戦史 (トゥキディデス)』を引いており、この中でトゥキディデスは「戦争が避けられないものとなったのは、アテネの力が大きくなったことと、それによってスパルタで恐怖感が生まれたためであった」と書いている 。